Ahmad Janjan, an economist, emphasizes that raising the gasoline price to 10,000 tomans cannot be considered a final solution to the imbalance crisis, stating that this action can only be effective if accompanied by structural reforms in the automotive industry, public transportation, and energy policies.
Analysis of the Effects of Gasoline Price Increase
Janjan believes that the new gasoline price can serve as an initial signal for moving towards reforming the pricing system, but expectations for a complete resolution of consumption and supply crises with a price change are unrealistic. He emphasizes that increasing the gasoline price may pursue goals such as managing part of the excess demand and reducing the incentive for unnecessary consumption, but it cannot resolve the imbalance issue on its own.
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The Role of High-Consumption Vehicles in Imbalance
This economist also points to the high consumption of vehicles in the country and states that one of the main roots of the gasoline imbalance is this issue. According to Janjan, keeping fuel prices low in the long term has led to a lack of incentive for automakers to produce fuel-efficient vehicles. He emphasizes that if there is a correct price signal, high-consumption vehicles will have less economic value, and manufacturers will be pressured to produce fuel-efficient cars.
Janjan further states that reforming vehicle consumption standards, removing old vehicles from the consumption cycle, and increasing the production of fuel-efficient vehicles are integral parts of reforming the gasoline system. Regarding the basis for setting the 10,000 toman gasoline price, he says that this figure should not be considered the actual price of fuel, but rather an initial step towards changing the policy environment and assessing the level of social acceptance for price reforms.
Ultimately, Janjan asserts that the main issue is not why the figure of 10,000 tomans was chosen, but rather what role this rate plays in a long-term roadmap for energy price reform. He emphasizes that it should be clarified how and over what period the gap between the current price and the actual cost of supplying gasoline will be reduced.
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